Carrols Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:TAST) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days were the cherry on top of the stock's 339% gain in the last year, which is nothing short of spectacular.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, given about half the companies operating in the United States' Hospitality industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.2x, you may still consider Carrols Restaurant Group as an attractive investment with its 0.2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Carrols Restaurant Group
NasdaqGS:TAST Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 10th 2023
What Does Carrols Restaurant Group's Recent Performance Look Like?
Recent times haven't been great for Carrols Restaurant Group as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Carrols Restaurant Group.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Carrols Restaurant Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 8.4%. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 19% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 4.1% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 18% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in consideration, its clear as to why Carrols Restaurant Group's P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On Carrols Restaurant Group's P/S
Carrols Restaurant Group's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that Carrols Restaurant Group maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Carrols Restaurant Group with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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