Nextdoor Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:KIND), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NYSE over the last few months, increasing to US$3.10 at one point, and dropping to the lows of US$1.51. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Nextdoor Holdings' current trading price of US$1.51 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let's take a look at Nextdoor Holdings's outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
Check out our latest analysis for Nextdoor Holdings
What Is Nextdoor Holdings Worth?
According to my valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 37%, trading at US$1.51 compared to my intrinsic value of $1.10. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. Another thing to keep in mind is that Nextdoor Holdings's share price is quite stable relative to the market, as indicated by its low beta. This means that if you believe the current share price should move towards its intrinsic value over time, a low beta could suggest it is not likely to reach that level anytime soon, and once it's there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range again.
What kind of growth will Nextdoor Holdings generate?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. In Nextdoor Holdings' case, its revenues over the next few years are expected to grow by 35%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. If expense does not increase by the same rate, or higher, this top line growth should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? KIND's optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe KIND should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping tabs on KIND for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there's no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for KIND, which means it's worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
If you'd like to know more about Nextdoor Holdings as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. When we did our research, we found 2 warning signs for Nextdoor Holdings (1 is potentially serious!) that we believe deserve your full attention.
If you are no longer interested in Nextdoor Holdings, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.