share_log

Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at Linewell Software (SHSE:603636) the Stock Grows 10.0%, Bringing Five-year Gains to 46%

Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at Linewell Software (SHSE:603636) the Stock Grows 10.0%, Bringing Five-year Gains to 46%

尽管Linewell Software(上海证券交易所代码:603636)的收益呈下降趋势,但该股仍增长了10.0%,使五年来的涨幅达到46%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/08 18:58

When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. To wit, the Linewell Software share price has climbed 38% in five years, easily topping the market return of 32% (ignoring dividends).

当我们投资时,我们通常在寻找表现优于市场平均水平的股票。收购被低估的企业是获得超额回报的途径之一。换句话说,Linewell Software的股价在五年内上涨了38%,轻松超过了32%的市场回报率(不考虑分红)。

Since the stock has added CN¥673m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

由于仅在过去一周中,该股的市值就增加了6.73亿元人民币,因此让我们看看基础表现是否推动了长期回报。

Check out our latest analysis for Linewell Software

看看我们对Linewell Software的最新分析

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

尽管一些人继续教导高效市场假说,但事实证明,市场是反应过度的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

During five years of share price growth, Linewell Software actually saw its EPS drop 15% per year.

在股价增长的五年中,Linewell Software的每股收益实际上每年下降15%。

Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Because earnings per share don't seem to match up with the share price, we'll take a look at other metrics instead.

从本质上讲,投资者似乎不太可能将注意力集中在每股收益上。由于每股收益似乎与股价不符,因此我们将改用其他指标。

We doubt the modest 0.7% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. On the other hand, Linewell Software's revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 12% over the last five years. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.

我们怀疑0.7%的适度股息收益率能否吸引许多买家购买该股。另一方面,Linewell Software的收入增长良好,在过去五年中复合增长率为12%。目前,管理层很有可能将收入增长置于每股收益增长之上。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到收入和收入如何随着时间的推移而变化(点击图片了解确切的值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:603636 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 8th 2023
上海证券交易所:603636 收益和收入增长 2023 年 11 月 8 日

This free interactive report on Linewell Software's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果你想进一步调查该股,这份关于Linewell Software资产负债表实力的免费互动报告是一个不错的起点。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Linewell Software, it has a TSR of 46% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报(TSR)。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息已被再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以说,股东总回报率可以更全面地描述股票产生的回报。就Linewell Software而言,其过去5年的股东总回报率为46%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market lost about 4.0% in the twelve months, Linewell Software shareholders did even worse, losing 13% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 8%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Linewell Software (including 1 which is potentially serious) .

尽管大盘在过去十二个月中下跌了约4.0%,但Linewell Software股东的表现更差,损失了13%(甚至包括股息)。但是,可能仅仅是股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。如果有很好的机会,可能值得关注基本面。长期投资者不会那么沮丧,因为他们本可以在五年内每年获得8%的收入。最近的抛售可能是一个机会,因此可能值得查看基本面数据以寻找长期增长趋势的迹象。尽管值得考虑市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响,但还有其他因素更为重要。为此,你应该了解我们在Linewell Software上发现的3个警告信号(包括一个可能很严重的警告)。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家财务状况可能优异的公司——那么千万不要错过这份已经证明自己可以增加收益的公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发