Ferrotec (An Hui) Technology Development Co.,LTD (SZSE:301297) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 41% gain in the last month alone. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.
After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Ferrotec (An Hui) Technology DevelopmentLTD is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 18.1x, considering almost half the companies in China's Commercial Services industry have P/S ratios below 3.3x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Check out our latest analysis for Ferrotec (An Hui) Technology DevelopmentLTD
How Has Ferrotec (An Hui) Technology DevelopmentLTD Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Ferrotec (An Hui) Technology DevelopmentLTD over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Ferrotec (An Hui) Technology DevelopmentLTD will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Ferrotec (An Hui) Technology DevelopmentLTD's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 1.7% decrease to the company's top line. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 24% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 39% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Ferrotec (An Hui) Technology DevelopmentLTD's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Ferrotec (An Hui) Technology DevelopmentLTD's P/S?
Ferrotec (An Hui) Technology DevelopmentLTD's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
The fact that Ferrotec (An Hui) Technology DevelopmentLTD currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Ferrotec (An Hui) Technology DevelopmentLTD that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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