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There's Reason For Concern Over Ningbo TIP Rubber Technology Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:605255) Massive 26% Price Jump

寧波TIPラバーテクノロジー(SHSE:605255)の株価が26%急騰した理由について懸念の余地がある

Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/08 17:02

Ningbo TIP Rubber Technology Co.,Ltd (SHSE:605255) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. Looking further back, the 14% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China's Auto Components industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.8x, you may consider Ningbo TIP Rubber TechnologyLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 7.9x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

See our latest analysis for Ningbo TIP Rubber TechnologyLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:605255 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 8th 2023

What Does Ningbo TIP Rubber TechnologyLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Revenue has risen firmly for Ningbo TIP Rubber TechnologyLtd recently, which is pleasing to see. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Ningbo TIP Rubber TechnologyLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Ningbo TIP Rubber TechnologyLtd's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 14% last year. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 23% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 30% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Ningbo TIP Rubber TechnologyLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Ningbo TIP Rubber TechnologyLtd's P/S

The strong share price surge has lead to Ningbo TIP Rubber TechnologyLtd's P/S soaring as well. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

The fact that Ningbo TIP Rubber TechnologyLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Having said that, be aware Ningbo TIP Rubber TechnologyLtd is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those shouldn't be ignored.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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