The recent earnings posted by ONEOK, Inc. (NYSE:OKE) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we expected. We think this is due to investors looking beyond the statutory profits and being concerned with what they see.
Check out our latest analysis for ONEOK
One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. ONEOK expanded the number of shares on issue by 30% over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. You can see a chart of ONEOK's EPS by clicking here.
How Is Dilution Impacting ONEOK's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?
As you can see above, ONEOK has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 293% over three years. But EPS was only up 270% per year, in the exact same period. And at a glance the 52% gain in profit over the last year impresses. But in comparison, EPS only increased by 51% over the same period. Therefore, one can observe that the dilution is having a fairly profound effect on shareholder returns.
Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if ONEOK can grow EPS persistently. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On ONEOK's Profit Performance
ONEOK shareholders should keep in mind how many new shares it is issuing, because, dilution clearly has the power to severely impact shareholder returns. Because of this, we think that it may be that ONEOK's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Be aware that ONEOK is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those is potentially serious...
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of ONEOK's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.