If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. In light of that, when we looked at China Railway Construction (SHSE:601186) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on China Railway Construction is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.072 = CN¥47b ÷ (CN¥1.7t - CN¥1.0t) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
Therefore, China Railway Construction has an ROCE of 7.2%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 7.0%, it's still a low return by itself.
Check out our latest analysis for China Railway Construction
Above you can see how the current ROCE for China Railway Construction compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
What Does the ROCE Trend For China Railway Construction Tell Us?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at China Railway Construction, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 7.2% from 9.0% five years ago. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
Another thing to note, China Railway Construction has a high ratio of current liabilities to total assets of 61%. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
What We Can Learn From China Railway Construction's ROCE
To conclude, we've found that China Railway Construction is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. And in the last five years, the stock has given away 15% so the market doesn't look too hopeful on these trends strengthening any time soon. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.
One more thing: We've identified 2 warning signs with China Railway Construction (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) , and understanding these would certainly be useful.
While China Railway Construction may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.