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Hold Rating on American Well Amid Revenue Shortfall, DHA Contract Opportunities, and Revised Forecast
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Hold Rating on American Well Amid Revenue Shortfall, DHA Contract Opportunities, and Revised Forecast

Analyst Charles Rhyee of TD Cowen maintained a Hold rating on American Well (AMWLResearch Report), with a price target of $2.00.

Charles Rhyee has given his Hold rating due to a combination of factors. American Well’s reported revenue of $61.9M was lower than the consensus of $63.2M, however, the adjusted EBITDA loss of ($38.5M) was in line with the consensus of ($38.4M). The ongoing progress of the Converge migration is seen as a positive, with AMWL reporting that 50% of visits are now happening on its new platform. The company has also provided more details about its Defense Health Agency (DHA) contract award which, at its full run rate by the end of 2024, will become one of AMWL’s largest customers and should significantly boost revenue.
Further, Rhyee highlights the potential for this DHA contract to generate more opportunities for AMWL, such as partnering with other government programs. The company’s management has reiterated its revenue guidance for 2023 of $257M to $263M, but now expects an adjusted EBITDA in the range of ($162M) to ($167M), an increase from ($160M) to ($165M), reflecting $2M in incremental R&D expenses related to the launch of its DHA contract. Finally, Rhyee has adjusted his 2023/2024 revenue estimate to $258M/$273M (from $261M/$296M) and adjusted EBITDA loss to ($164M)/($91M), from ($163M)/($98M). He has also revised his price target to $2 (from $2.50), based on a revised DCF analysis.

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Based on the recent corporate insider activity of 93 insiders, corporate insider sentiment is negative on the stock. This means that over the past quarter there has been an increase of insiders selling their shares of AMWL in relation to earlier this year.

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American Well (AMWL) Company Description:

American Well Corp is a telehealth company enabling digital delivery of care for its customers. Its platform, Amwell, enables care delivery across the full healthcare continuum – from primary and urgent care in the home to high acuity specialty consults, such as telestroke and telepsychiatry, in the hospital. It provides both on-demand and scheduled consultations.

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