The analysts covering Coastal Financial Corporation (NASDAQ:CCB) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a substantial revision to their statutory forecasts for next year. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts went under the knife, suggesting analysts have soured majorly on the business.
After the downgrade, the three analysts covering Coastal Financial are now predicting revenues of US$563m in 2024. If met, this would reflect a sizeable 116% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to shoot up 25% to US$4.57. Previously, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$628m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$5.53 in 2024. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a substantial drop in revenue estimates and a considerable drop in earnings per share numbers as well.
Check out our latest analysis for Coastal Financial
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. The analysts are definitely expecting Coastal Financial's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 85% annualised growth to the end of 2024 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 44% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 4.4% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Coastal Financial is expected to grow much faster than its industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for Coastal Financial. Unfortunately, analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, although our data indicates revenues are expected to perform better than the wider market. Given the serious cut to next year's outlook, it's clear that analysts have turned more bearish on Coastal Financial, and we wouldn't blame shareholders for feeling a little more cautious themselves.
Even so, the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for the value creation of shareholders. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Coastal Financial going out to 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.