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Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000913) Analysts Are Reducing Their Forecasts For This Year

Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000913) Analysts Are Reducing Their Forecasts For This Year

浙江钱江摩托股份有限公司(深交所代码:000913)分析师下调了对今年的预测
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/28 20:09

One thing we could say about the analysts on Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000913) - they aren't optimistic, having just made a major negative revision to their near-term (statutory) forecasts for the organization. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts went under the knife, suggesting the analysts have soured majorly on the business.

关于分析师们,我们可以说一件事浙江钱江摩托车有限公司。(SZSE:000913)-他们并不乐观,刚刚对他们对该组织的近期(法定)预测进行了重大负面修订。营收和每股收益(EPS)预期都遭到了下调,这表明分析师们对这项业务的态度已经恶化到了极点。

After the downgrade, the three analysts covering Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle are now predicting revenues of CN¥5.7b in 2023. If met, this would reflect a meaningful 8.3% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to ascend 15% to CN¥0.91. Previously, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥6.8b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.09 in 2023. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle's prospects, administering a measurable cut to revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.

在评级下调后,追踪浙江钱江摩托车的三位分析师现在预测,2023年收入将达到57亿元人民币。如果得到满足,这将反映出与过去12个月相比,销售额有意义地提高了8.3%。每股收益预计将增长15%,至0.91加元。此前,分析师一直在预测2023年的收入为68亿元人民币,每股收益为1.09元人民币。事实上,我们可以看到,分析师们对浙江钱江摩托的前景要悲观得多,他们大幅下调了收入预期,并大幅下调了每股收益预期。

See our latest analysis for Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle

请看我们对浙江钱江摩托车的最新分析

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:000913 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 29th 2023
深交所:2023年10月29日收益和收入增长000913

The consensus price target fell 10% to CN¥17.50, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading analyst valuation estimates.

共识目标股价下跌10%,至人民币17.50元,较弱的盈利前景明显领先于分析师的估值预期。

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would highlight that Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 8.3% annualised growth rate until the end of 2023 being well below the historical 14% p.a. growth over the last five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 20% per year. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

当然,看待这些预测的另一种方式是将它们放在与行业本身相反的背景下。我们要强调的是,浙江钱江摩托车的收入增长预计将放缓,截至2023年底的预测年化增长率为8.3%,远低于历史上14%的年增长率。过去五年的增长。相比之下,分析师覆盖的该行业其他公司的收入预计将以每年20%的速度增长。考虑到增长放缓的预期,似乎很明显,浙江钱江摩托车的增长速度预计也将低于其他行业参与者。

The Bottom Line

底线

The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and the latest forecasts imply the business will grow sales slower than the wider market. With a serious cut to this year's expectations and a falling price target, we wouldn't be surprised if investors were becoming wary of Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle.

最重要的是,分析师们下调了每股收益预期,预计商业环境将出现明显下滑。令人遗憾的是,他们还下调了收入预期,最新预测表明,该业务的销售增长将低于更广泛的市场。随着今年预期的大幅下调和目标价的下降,如果投资者开始对浙江钱江摩托车保持警惕,我们也不会感到意外。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle analysts - going out to 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.

话虽如此,该公司盈利的长期轨迹比明年重要得多。我们有来自浙江钱江摩托车的多位分析师对2025年的预测,你可以在我们的平台上免费看到。

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.

当然,看到公司管理层投资大笔资金投资一只股票,就像知道分析师是否在下调他们的预期一样有用。所以你可能也想搜索一下这个免费内部人士正在买入的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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