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Siebert Financial Corp.'s (NASDAQ:SIEB) 25% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/ERatio

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 24, 2023 06:05

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Siebert Financial Corp. (NASDAQ:SIEB) share price has dived 25% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.

Even after such a large drop in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Siebert Financial's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.4x is worth a mention when the median P/E in the United States is similar at about 15x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Siebert Financial as its earnings have been rising very briskly. The P/E is probably moderate because investors think this strong earnings growth might not be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Siebert Financial

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:SIEB Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 24th 2023
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Siebert Financial, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Growth For Siebert Financial?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Siebert Financial's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 262% gain to the company's bottom line. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 7.7% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

With this information, we find it interesting that Siebert Financial is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Final Word

With its share price falling into a hole, the P/E for Siebert Financial looks quite average now. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Siebert Financial revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Siebert Financial (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're unsure about the strength of Siebert Financial's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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