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Companies Like SecureWorks (NASDAQ:SCWX) Could Be Quite Risky

Companies Like SecureWorks (NASDAQ:SCWX) Could Be Quite Risky

像 SecureWorks(纳斯达克股票代码:SCWX)这样的公司可能风险很大
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/21 09:18

Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

即使一家企业在亏损,如果股东以合适的价格收购一家好企业,他们也有可能赚钱。例如,生物技术和采矿勘探公司经常亏损多年,然后才在新的治疗方法或矿物发现方面取得成功。尽管如此,只有傻瓜才会忽视这样一个风险,即一家亏损的公司太快地烧掉了现金。

So, the natural question for SecureWorks (NASDAQ:SCWX) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

所以,自然的问题是SecureWorks纳斯达克(Sequoia Capital:SCWX)的股东是否应该对其烧钱的速度感到担忧。在这份报告中,我们将考虑该公司的年度自由现金流为负,此后将其称为“现金消耗”。我们将首先将其现金消耗与其现金储备进行比较,以计算其现金跑道。

Check out our latest analysis for SecureWorks

查看我们对SecureWorks的最新分析

Does SecureWorks Have A Long Cash Runway?

SecureWorks有很长的现金跑道吗?

A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. When SecureWorks last reported its balance sheet in August 2023, it had zero debt and cash worth US$65m. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through US$96m. That means it had a cash runway of around 8 months as of August 2023. To be frank, this kind of short runway puts us on edge, as it indicates the company must reduce its cash burn significantly, or else raise cash imminently. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

现金跑道的定义是,如果一家公司继续以目前的现金消耗速度支出,它需要多长时间才能耗尽资金。SecureWorks上一次报告资产负债表是在2023年8月,当时它没有债务和价值6500万美元的现金。就去年而言,该公司烧掉了9600万美元。这意味着,截至2023年8月,该公司拥有约8个月的现金跑道。坦率地说,这种短暂的跑道让我们感到不安,因为它表明该公司必须大幅减少现金消耗,否则就会立即筹集现金。如下所示,你可以看到它的现金持有量是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:SCWX Debt to Equity History October 21st 2023
NasdaqGS:SCWX债转股历史2023年10月21日

How Well Is SecureWorks Growing?

SecureWorks的发展情况如何?

One thing for shareholders to keep front in mind is that SecureWorks increased its cash burn by 350% in the last twelve months. As if that's not bad enough, the operating revenue also dropped by 17%, making us very wary indeed. In light of the above-mentioned, we're pretty wary of the trajectory the company seems to be on. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

股东们要记住的一件事是,SecureWorks的现金消耗在过去12个月里增加了350%。如果这还不够糟糕的话,营业收入也下降了17%,这让我们确实非常警惕。鉴于上述情况,我们对该公司目前的发展轨迹相当谨慎。然而,显然,关键因素是该公司是否会在未来实现业务增长。因此,你可能想看看该公司在未来几年的预期增长速度。

How Hard Would It Be For SecureWorks To Raise More Cash For Growth?

SecureWorks筹集更多现金以实现增长的难度有多大?

Given its revenue and free cash flow are both moving in the wrong direction, shareholders may well be wondering how easily SecureWorks could raise cash. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

鉴于SecureWorks的收入和自由现金流都在朝着错误的方向发展,股东们很可能会想知道SecureWorks筹集现金的难度有多大。一般来说,上市企业可以通过发行股票或承担债务来筹集新的现金。许多公司最终发行新股,为未来的增长提供资金。我们可以将一家公司的现金消耗与其市值进行比较,以了解一家公司需要发行多少新股才能为一年的运营提供资金。

SecureWorks has a market capitalisation of US$554m and burnt through US$96m last year, which is 17% of the company's market value. Given that situation, it's fair to say the company wouldn't have much trouble raising more cash for growth, but shareholders would be somewhat diluted.

SecureWorks的市值为5.54亿美元,去年烧掉了9600万美元,占该公司市值的17%。在这种情况下,公平地说,该公司将不会有太多困难筹集更多现金来实现增长,但股东的股份将被稀释。

How Risky Is SecureWorks' Cash Burn Situation?

SecureWorks的烧钱情况有多大风险?

On this analysis of SecureWorks' cash burn, we think its cash burn relative to its market cap was reassuring, while its increasing cash burn has us a bit worried. Considering all the measures mentioned in this report, we reckon that its cash burn is fairly risky, and if we held shares we'd be watching like a hawk for any deterioration. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 2 warning signs for SecureWorks (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

在对SecureWorks现金消耗的分析中,我们认为它的现金消耗相对于其市值来说是令人放心的,而它不断增加的现金消耗让我们有点担心。考虑到这份报告中提到的所有措施,我们认为它的现金消耗是相当危险的,如果我们持有股票,我们将像鹰一样观察任何恶化。另外,我们研究了影响公司的不同风险,并发现了SecureWorks的2个警告标志(其中1个是重要的!)你应该知道。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

当然了,如果你把目光投向别处,你可能会发现这是一笔很棒的投资。所以让我们来看看这个免费感兴趣的公司名单,以及这份名单中的成长股(根据分析师预测)

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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