While Agile Group Holdings Limited (HKG:3383) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the SEHK over the last few months, increasing to HK$1.38 at one point, and dropping to the lows of HK$0.77. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Agile Group Holdings' current trading price of HK$0.77 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let's take a look at Agile Group Holdings's outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
View our latest analysis for Agile Group Holdings
What's The Opportunity In Agile Group Holdings?
According to my valuation model, Agile Group Holdings seems to be fairly priced at around 11.31% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Agile Group Holdings today, you'd be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company's true value is HK$0.69, there's only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Agile Group Holdings's beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company's shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.
What kind of growth will Agile Group Holdings generate?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Agile Group Holdings' earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 82%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in 3383's positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven't considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?
Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping tabs on 3383, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it's worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
If you'd like to know more about Agile Group Holdings as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example - Agile Group Holdings has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If you are no longer interested in Agile Group Holdings, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.