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Changchun Engley Automobile Industry Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:601279) Has Fared Decently But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead For The Stock?

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 12, 2023 18:29

Changchun Engley Automobile IndustryLtd's (SHSE:601279) stock is up by 4.4% over the past week. However, the company's financials look a bit inconsistent and market outcomes are ultimately driven by long-term fundamentals, meaning that the stock could head in either direction. Specifically, we decided to study Changchun Engley Automobile IndustryLtd's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

View our latest analysis for Changchun Engley Automobile IndustryLtd

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Changchun Engley Automobile IndustryLtd is:

3.9% = CN¥163m ÷ CN¥4.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.04 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

Changchun Engley Automobile IndustryLtd's Earnings Growth And 3.9% ROE

As you can see, Changchun Engley Automobile IndustryLtd's ROE looks pretty weak. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 7.6%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 21% seen by Changchun Engley Automobile IndustryLtd over the last five years is not surprising. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

However, when we compared Changchun Engley Automobile IndustryLtd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 3.6% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:601279 Past Earnings Growth October 12th 2023

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Changchun Engley Automobile IndustryLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Changchun Engley Automobile IndustryLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

While the company did payout a portion of its dividend in the past, it currently doesn't pay a dividend. This implies that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business.

Summary

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Changchun Engley Automobile IndustryLtd. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard will have the 1 risk we have identified for Changchun Engley Automobile IndustryLtd.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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