What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at Fujian Kuncai Material Technology (SHSE:603826) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Fujian Kuncai Material Technology:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.032 = CN¥91m ÷ (CN¥4.0b - CN¥1.1b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).
Thus, Fujian Kuncai Material Technology has an ROCE of 3.2%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Chemicals industry average of 5.9%.
View our latest analysis for Fujian Kuncai Material Technology
In the above chart we have measured Fujian Kuncai Material Technology's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
So How Is Fujian Kuncai Material Technology's ROCE Trending?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Fujian Kuncai Material Technology, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 12% over the last five years. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
While on the subject, we noticed that the ratio of current liabilities to total assets has risen to 28%, which has impacted the ROCE. Without this increase, it's likely that ROCE would be even lower than 3.2%. Keep an eye on this ratio, because the business could encounter some new risks if this metric gets too high.
What We Can Learn From Fujian Kuncai Material Technology's ROCE
In summary, Fujian Kuncai Material Technology is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. Investors must think there's better things to come because the stock has knocked it out of the park, delivering a 341% gain to shareholders who have held over the last five years. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
One more thing: We've identified 3 warning signs with Fujian Kuncai Material Technology (at least 2 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them would certainly be useful.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.