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Investing in Yunnan Yuntianhua (SHSE:600096) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 294% Gain

Investing in Yunnan Yuntianhua (SHSE:600096) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 294% Gain

五年前投资云南云天化(上海证券交易所代码:600096)将为您带来294%的收益
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/11 21:28

When you buy shares in a company, it's worth keeping in mind the possibility that it could fail, and you could lose your money. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. Long term Yunnan Yuntianhua Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600096) shareholders would be well aware of this, since the stock is up 273% in five years. In the last week shares have slid back 1.5%.

当你购买一家公司的股票时,值得记住的是它可能会倒闭,你可能会损失你的钱。但当你选择一家真正蓬勃发展的公司时,你可以制作超过100%。长期云南云天化股份有限公司(上海证券交易所:600096)股东们应该很清楚这一点,因为该股在五年内上涨了273%。过去一周,该公司股价回落了1.5%。

So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.

因此,让我们评估一下过去5年的基本基本面,看看它们是否与股东回报同步。

Check out our latest analysis for Yunnan Yuntianhua

查看我们对云南云天化的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

在他的文章中格雷厄姆和多德斯维尔的超级投资者沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价并不总是理性地反映一家企业的价值。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价随时间的变化,我们可以感受到投资者对一家公司的态度随着时间的推移发生了怎样的变化。

During five years of share price growth, Yunnan Yuntianhua achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 45% per year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 30% over the same period. Therefore, it seems the market has become relatively pessimistic about the company. This cautious sentiment is reflected in its (fairly low) P/E ratio of 5.90.

在五年的股价增长中,云南云天化实现了每股收益(EPS)年均45%的复合增长。每股收益的增长比同期30%的年股价涨幅更令人印象深刻。因此,市场似乎对该公司变得相对悲观。这种谨慎的情绪反映在其5.90的(相当低的)市盈率上。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下图中看到EPS是如何随着时间的推移而变化的(单击图表可查看精确值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:600096 Earnings Per Share Growth October 12th 2023
上海证交所:2023年10月12日每股收益增长600096

It is of course excellent to see how Yunnan Yuntianhua has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. Take a more thorough look at Yunnan Yuntianhua's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

看到云南云天化多年来的盈利增长当然很棒,但对股东来说,未来更重要。更透彻地了解云南云天化的财务健康状况免费报告其资产负债表。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Yunnan Yuntianhua the TSR over the last 5 years was 294%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考察投资回报时,重要的是要考虑到股东总回报(TSR)和股价回报。虽然股价回报只反映股价的变动,但TSR包括股息的价值(假设股息再投资),以及任何折价集资或分拆所带来的利益。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。我们注意到,云南云天化过去5年的TSR为294%,好于上述股价回报。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market gained around 1.3% in the last year, Yunnan Yuntianhua shareholders lost 23% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 32%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Yunnan Yuntianhua , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

尽管大盘去年上涨了约1.3%,但云南云天化的股东损失了23%(甚至包括股息)。然而,请记住,即使是最好的股票,在12个月的时间里,有时也会表现逊于市场。较长期的投资者不会如此沮丧,因为他们在五年内每年会获得32%的收益。如果基本面数据继续显示长期可持续增长,当前的抛售可能是一个值得考虑的机会。我发现,把股价作为衡量企业业绩的长期指标是非常有趣的。但为了真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,考虑一下无处不在的投资风险幽灵。我们已经确定了两个警告信号与云南云天化合作,了解他们应该是你投资过程的一部分。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

当然了,如果你把目光投向别处,你可能会发现这是一笔很棒的投资。所以让我们来看看这个免费我们预计收益将会增长的公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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