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Is Shenzhen Zowee Technology (SZSE:002369) A Risky Investment?

Is Shenzhen Zowee Technology (SZSE:002369) A Risky Investment?

深圳卓威科技 (SZSE: 002369) 是风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/11 20:29

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Shenzhen Zowee Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002369) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

一些人说,作为投资者,考虑风险的最佳方式是波动性,而不是债务,但巴菲特曾说过一句名言:波动性远非风险的同义词。当我们考虑一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢看它对债务的使用,因为债务过重可能导致破产。我们注意到深圳市卓威科技有限公司。(SZSE:002369)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多大的风险?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

债务帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是用新资本还是用自由现金流。资本主义的一部分是“创造性破坏”的过程,破产的企业被银行家无情地清算。然而,一种更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,一家公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东的股份,才能控制债务。话虽如此,最常见的情况是一家公司对债务管理得相当好--并对自己有利。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先同时考虑现金和债务水平。

See our latest analysis for Shenzhen Zowee Technology

查看我们对深圳卓威科技的最新分析

What Is Shenzhen Zowee Technology's Net Debt?

深圳卓威科技的净负债是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shenzhen Zowee Technology had debt of CN¥129.2m at the end of June 2023, a reduction from CN¥164.5m over a year. However, it does have CN¥386.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥257.2m.

下图显示,截至2023年6月底,深圳卓威科技的债务为1.292亿加元,较一年内的1.645亿加元有所减少。然而,它确实有3.864亿加元的现金来抵消这一点,导致净现金为2.572亿加元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002369 Debt to Equity History October 12th 2023
深交所:002369债转股历史2023年10月12日

A Look At Shenzhen Zowee Technology's Liabilities

深圳卓威科技负债情况一瞥

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shenzhen Zowee Technology had liabilities of CN¥1.18b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥833.2m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥386.4m and CN¥412.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.21b.

放大最新的资产负债表数据可以看到,深圳卓威科技有11.8亿元的负债在12个月内到期,超过12个月的负债有8.332亿元的负债到期。另一方面,它有3.864亿加元的现金和价值4.126亿加元的应收账款在一年内到期。因此,它的负债超过了现金和(近期)应收账款的总和12.1亿元。

This deficit isn't so bad because Shenzhen Zowee Technology is worth CN¥4.00b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Shenzhen Zowee Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shenzhen Zowee Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

这一赤字并不是那么糟糕,因为深圳卓威科技价值人民币4亿元,因此如果需要的话,可能会筹集到足够的资本来支撑其资产负债表。但很明显,我们绝对应该仔细检查它是否能够在不稀释的情况下管理债务。尽管负债值得注意,但深圳卓威科技拥有净现金,因此可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到的债务最多。但你不能完全孤立地看待债务,因为深圳卓威科技需要盈利来偿还债务。因此,如果你热衷于了解更多关于它的收益,可能值得查看一下它的长期收益趋势图。

Over 12 months, Shenzhen Zowee Technology made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥1.8b, which is a fall of 13%. We would much prefer see growth.

12个月来,深圳卓威科技息税前利润出现亏损,收入降至18亿加元,降幅为13%。我们更希望看到增长。

So How Risky Is Shenzhen Zowee Technology?

那么,深圳卓威科技的风险有多大呢?

Although Shenzhen Zowee Technology had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it generated positive free cash flow of CN¥102m. So although it is loss-making, it doesn't seem to have too much near-term balance sheet risk, keeping in mind the net cash. Until we see some positive EBIT, we're a bit cautious of the stock, not least because of the rather modest revenue growth. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Shenzhen Zowee Technology you should be aware of.

尽管深圳卓威科技在过去12个月中出现息税前收益(EBIT)亏损,但它产生了1.02亿元的正自由现金流。因此,尽管它在亏损,但考虑到净现金,它似乎没有太大的近期资产负债表风险。在我们看到一些积极的息税前利润,我们对该股有点谨慎,尤其是因为收入增长相当温和。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可能包含存在于资产负债表之外的风险。一个恰当的例子:我们发现了深圳卓威科技的2个警示标志你应该意识到。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

总而言之,有时候专注于甚至不需要债务的公司会更容易。读者可以访问净债务为零的成长型股票列表100%免费,现在。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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