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Smart Sand, Inc. (NASDAQ:SND) Stock Catapults 28% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 22, 2023 06:30

Despite an already strong run, Smart Sand, Inc. (NASDAQ:SND) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 62% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, considering around half the companies operating in the United States' Energy Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.1x, you may still consider Smart Sand as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Smart Sand

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:SND Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 22nd 2023

What Does Smart Sand's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been advantageous for Smart Sand as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Smart Sand will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Smart Sand's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 68% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 62% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 0.007% over the next year. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 14%, which paints a poor picture.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Smart Sand's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Final Word

Smart Sand's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that Smart Sand's P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Smart Sand (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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