Nanjing Sample Technology Company Limited's (HKG:1708) 26% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 25, 2023 18:05

Nanjing Sample Technology Company Limited (HKG:1708) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 30% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, given around half the companies in Hong Kong's Electronic industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.4x, you may still consider Nanjing Sample Technology as a stock to avoid entirely with its 8.5x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Nanjing Sample Technology

SEHK:1708 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 25th 2023

How Nanjing Sample Technology Has Been Performing

For example, consider that Nanjing Sample Technology's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Nanjing Sample Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Nanjing Sample Technology?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Nanjing Sample Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 69%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 72% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 49% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Nanjing Sample Technology's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Nanjing Sample Technology's P/S

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Nanjing Sample Technology's very lofty P/S. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Nanjing Sample Technology revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Nanjing Sample Technology.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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