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Shanghai XNG Holdings Limited's (HKG:3666) 26% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 22, 2023 18:21

Shanghai XNG Holdings Limited (HKG:3666) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 54% share price decline.

Following the heavy fall in price, Shanghai XNG Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Hospitality industry in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.6x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

View our latest analysis for Shanghai XNG Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:3666 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 22nd 2023

How Has Shanghai XNG Holdings Performed Recently?

For instance, Shanghai XNG Holdings' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shanghai XNG Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Shanghai XNG Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

Shanghai XNG Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 53%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 74% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 49% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we understand why Shanghai XNG Holdings' P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

What Does Shanghai XNG Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

The southerly movements of Shanghai XNG Holdings' shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Shanghai XNG Holdings revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 5 warning signs for Shanghai XNG Holdings you should be aware of, and 2 of them are a bit concerning.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shanghai XNG Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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