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Strong Week for Krispy Kreme (NASDAQ:DNUT) Shareholders Doesn't Alleviate Pain of One-year Loss

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 31, 2023 07:17

Krispy Kreme, Inc. (NASDAQ:DNUT) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 18% in the last month. But that doesn't change the reality of under-performance over the last twelve months. In fact the stock is down 17% in the last year, well below the market return.

The recent uptick of 3.7% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

View our latest analysis for Krispy Kreme

Given that Krispy Kreme didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

Krispy Kreme grew its revenue by 12% over the last year. That's not a very high growth rate considering it doesn't make profits. Given this lacklustre revenue growth, the share price drop of 17% seems pretty appropriate. It's important not to lose sight of the fact that profitless companies must grow. But if you buy a loss making company then you could become a loss making investor.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:DNUT Earnings and Revenue Growth January 31st 2023

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. If you are thinking of buying or selling Krispy Kreme stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

A Different Perspective

We doubt Krispy Kreme shareholders are happy with the loss of 16% over twelve months (even including dividends). That falls short of the market, which lost 12%. That's disappointing, but it's worth keeping in mind that the market-wide selling wouldn't have helped. With the stock down 13% over the last three months, the market doesn't seem to believe that the company has solved all its problems. Given the relatively short history of this stock, we'd remain pretty wary until we see some strong business performance. If you want to research this stock further, the data on insider buying is an obvious place to start. You can click here to see who has been buying shares - and the price they paid.

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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