- Needham analyst Alex Henderson reiterated Buy on Extreme Networks, Inc (NASDAQ:EXTR) with a $23 price target.
- Unlike components and semis, systems backlogs are virtually never double-ordered and rarely canceled.
- Systems backlogs range from 30% at Cisco Systems, Inc (NASDAQ:CSCO) to 60%+ at Juniper Networks, Inc (NYSE:JNPR), Infinera Corp (NASDAQ:INFN), Extreme, and Ceragon Networks Ltd (NASDAQ:CRNT) to 100%+ at Ciena Corp (NYSE:CIEN) and provide more than just high visibility against macro erosion.
- Despite macro fears and Street expectations for declining estimates for the S&P for CY23, the analyst expects Extreme to deliver beat and raise results.
- Extreme is still supply constrained, with a backlog equating to over 60% of estimated CY23 product sales.
- In an environment where investors braced for estimate cuts, these backlogs, combined with improving availability and declining parts and logistics costs, provide ample upside to revenues and EPS and likely drive improving valuations.
- In the case of Extreme, the analyst thinks the current conditions are already evidencing the proper dynamics to produce this outcome. Further, Extreme has done an excellent job positioning for AI cloud native. It has vital new products set to ramp up in its Universal product line, which should further improve its competitive position and offer even better gross margins.
- As the economy weakens, Henderson looks for supply to improve and part costs to decline.
- In turn, the analyst thinks this will allow Extreme to ship more products out of its large and firm backlog than expected, resulting in an upside to revenues and gross margins.
- The Street expects 2Q23 revenue to be up 9% and EPS to be up 14% at the mid-point of the guide against the most challenging compare of the year.
- Henderson thinks growth will exceed 10%, EXTR will beat EPS, and it will raise its guide for 3Q23 (CY1Q) and FY23.
- In addition, the analyst expects improving supply to allow Extreme to bring down inventory and enhance its cash flow.
- The analyst forecasts 12% revenue growth over the next three quarters. Henderson thinks improving supply availability at a rate above Extreme's expectations likely drive revenue growth of 15%+ over this period.
- The analyst also thinks there is an upside to gross margins, and the upside to revenues should drive OpEx leverage.
- Price Action: EXTR shares traded higher by 4.34% at $19.70 on the last check Monday.
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Extreme Networks Likely To Beat Q2 Driven By Backlogs As Supply Constraints Ease Out, Analyst Says
Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
Risk Disclaimer
This presentation is for informational and educational use only and is not a recommendation or endorsement of any particular investment or investment strategy. Investment information provided in this content is general in nature, strictly for illustrative purposes, and may not be appropriate for all investors. It is provided without respect to individual investors’ financial sophistication, financial situation, investment objectives, investing time horizon, or risk tolerance. You should consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to your relevant personal circumstances before making any investment decisions. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. Moomoo makes no representation or warranty as to its adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeline for any particular purpose of the above content.
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Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc., and Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. are affiliated companies.
Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc.
In the U.S., investment products and services available through the moomoo app are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and a member of Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA)/Securities Investor Protection Corporation (SIPC).
In Singapore, investment products and services available through the moomoo app are offered through Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd. regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS). Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd. is a Capital Markets Services Licence (License No. CMS101000) holder with the Exempt Financial Adviser Status. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
In Australia, financial products and services available through the moomoo app are provided by Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, an Australian Financial Services Licensee (AFSL No. 224663) regulated by the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC). Please read and understand our Financial Services Guide, Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy and other disclosure documents which are available on our website https://www.moomoo.com/au.
In Canada, order-execution only services available through the moomoo app are provided by Moomoo Financial Canada Inc., regulated by the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO).
In Malaysia, investment products and services available through the moomoo app are offered through Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. ("Moomoo MY")regulated by the Securities Commission of Malaysia (SC). Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. is a Capital Markets Services Licence (License No. eCMSL/A0397/2024) holder. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the SC.
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc., and Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. are affiliated companies.
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Risk Disclaimer
This presentation is for informational and educational use only and is not a recommendation or endorsement of any particular investment or investment strategy. Investment information provided in this content is general in nature, strictly for illustrative purposes, and may not be appropriate for all investors. It is provided without respect to individual investors’ financial sophistication, financial situation, investment objectives, investing time horizon, or risk tolerance. You should consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to your relevant personal circumstances before making any investment decisions. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. Moomoo makes no representation or warranty as to its adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeline for any particular purpose of the above content.
Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc.
In the U.S., investment products and services available through the moomoo app are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and a member of Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA)/Securities Investor Protection Corporation (SIPC).
In Singapore, investment products and services available through the moomoo app are offered through Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd. regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS). Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd. is a Capital Markets Services Licence (License No. CMS101000) holder with the Exempt Financial Adviser Status. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
In Australia, financial products and services available through the moomoo app are provided by Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, an Australian Financial Services Licensee (AFSL No. 224663) regulated by the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC). Please read and understand our Financial Services Guide, Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy and other disclosure documents which are available on our website https://www.moomoo.com/au.
In Canada, order-execution only services available through the moomoo app are provided by Moomoo Financial Canada Inc., regulated by the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO).
In Malaysia, investment products and services available through the moomoo app are offered through Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. ("Moomoo MY")regulated by the Securities Commission of Malaysia (SC). Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. is a Capital Markets Services Licence (License No. eCMSL/A0397/2024) holder. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the SC.
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc., and Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. are affiliated companies.
Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc.
In the U.S., investment products and services available through the moomoo app are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and a member of Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA)/Securities Investor Protection Corporation (SIPC).
In Singapore, investment products and services available through the moomoo app are offered through Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd. regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS). Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd. is a Capital Markets Services Licence (License No. CMS101000) holder with the Exempt Financial Adviser Status. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
In Australia, financial products and services available through the moomoo app are provided by Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, an Australian Financial Services Licensee (AFSL No. 224663) regulated by the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC). Please read and understand our Financial Services Guide, Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy and other disclosure documents which are available on our website https://www.moomoo.com/au.
In Canada, order-execution only services available through the moomoo app are provided by Moomoo Financial Canada Inc., regulated by the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO).
In Malaysia, investment products and services available through the moomoo app are offered through Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. ("Moomoo MY")regulated by the Securities Commission of Malaysia (SC). Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. is a Capital Markets Services Licence (License No. eCMSL/A0397/2024) holder. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the SC.
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc., and Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. are affiliated companies.
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