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Chinney Alliance Group Limited (HKG:385) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 33%

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 5, 2023 17:10

Chinney Alliance Group Limited (HKG:385) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 33% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 21% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Chinney Alliance Group may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.4x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios greater than 9x and even P/E's higher than 20x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

For instance, Chinney Alliance Group's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Chinney Alliance Group

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SEHK:385 Price Based on Past Earnings January 5th 2023
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Chinney Alliance Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Chinney Alliance Group's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Chinney Alliance Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 7.6% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 63% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 17% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's understandable that Chinney Alliance Group's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Bottom Line On Chinney Alliance Group's P/E

Chinney Alliance Group's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Chinney Alliance Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Chinney Alliance Group (at least 1 which is a bit concerning), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're unsure about the strength of Chinney Alliance Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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