By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But many of us dare to dream of bigger returns, and build a portfolio ourselves. Just take a look at AMERCO (NASDAQ:UHAL), which is up 62%, over three years, soundly beating the market return of 17% (not including dividends).
Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 7.0%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for AMERCO
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
During three years of share price growth, AMERCO achieved compound earnings per share growth of 42% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 17% average annual increase in the share price. So one could reasonably conclude that the market has cooled on the stock. This cautious sentiment is reflected in its (fairly low) P/E ratio of 11.12.
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
NasdaqGS:UHAL Earnings Per Share Growth December 19th 2022
We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. This free interactive report on AMERCO's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
A Different Perspective
While it's never nice to take a loss, AMERCO shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 15% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 19%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 10%, each year, over five years. In the best case scenario the last year is just a temporary blip on the journey to a brighter future. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for AMERCO that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
通过购买指数基金,你可以轻松地大致匹配市场回报。但我们中的许多人都敢于梦想更高的回报,并自己建立投资组合。只要看一看阿美科纳斯达克(Sequoia Capital:UHAL)在三年内上涨了62%,远远超过了17%的市场回报率(不包括股息)。
由于长期表现良好,但最近出现了7.0%的回调,让我们看看基本面是否与股价匹配。
查看我们对AMERCO的最新分析
在他的文章中格雷厄姆和多德斯维尔的超级投资者沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价并不总是理性地反映一家企业的价值。一种不完美但简单的方法来考虑市场对一家公司的看法是如何改变的,那就是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。
在三年的股价增长中,AMERCO实现了每年42%的复合每股收益增长。这一每股收益增幅高于该公司股价17%的年均增幅。因此,人们可以合理地得出结论,市场对该股的态度已经降温。这种谨慎的情绪反映在其11.12的(相当低的)市盈率上。
该公司的每股收益(在一段时间内)如下图所示(点击查看具体数字)。
纳斯达克:UHAL每股收益增长2022年12月19日
我们很高兴地报告,这位首席执行官的薪酬比类似资本公司的大多数首席执行官都要低。但是,尽管CEO的薪酬总是值得检查的,但真正重要的问题是,公司能否在未来实现收益增长。这免费如果你想进一步调查AMERCO的股票,关于AMERCO收益、收入和现金流的互动报告是一个很好的起点。
不同的视角
虽然亏损从来都不是好事,但AMERCO的股东们可以感到欣慰的是,包括股息在内,他们过去12个月的15%的亏损并没有市场上19%左右的亏损那么糟糕。较长期的投资者不会如此沮丧,因为他们在五年内每年会获得10%的收益。在最好的情况下,去年只是通向更光明未来的旅途中的一个暂时的转折点。我发现,把股价作为衡量企业业绩的长期指标是非常有趣的。但为了真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们发现AMERCO的1个警告标志在这里投资之前你应该意识到这一点。
如果你像我一样,你会的不想怀念这一切吗?免费内部人士正在收购的成长型公司名单。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。