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Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get KWG Living Group Holdings (HKG:3913) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Year

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 7, 2022 20:05

KWG Living Group Holdings Limited (HKG:3913) has rebounded strongly over the last week, with the share price soaring 34%. But that isn't much consolation for the painful drop we've seen in the last year. Indeed, the share price is down a whopping 81% in the last year. It's not uncommon to see a bounce after a drop like that. The real question is whether the company can turn around its fortunes. While a drop like that is definitely a body blow, money isn't as important as health and happiness.

On a more encouraging note the company has added CN¥506m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the one-year loss for shareholders.

View our latest analysis for KWG Living Group Holdings

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Even though the KWG Living Group Holdings share price is down over the year, its EPS actually improved. Of course, the situation might betray previous over-optimism about growth.

It's surprising to see the share price fall so much, despite the improved EPS. But we might find some different metrics explain the share price movements better.

KWG Living Group Holdings' dividend seems healthy to us, so we doubt that the yield is a concern for the market. The revenue trend doesn't seem to explain why the share price is down. Of course, it could simply be that it simply fell short of the market consensus expectations.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growthSEHK:3913 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 8th 2022

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

A Different Perspective

KWG Living Group Holdings shareholders are down 79% for the year (even including dividends), even worse than the market loss of 27%. There's no doubt that's a disappointment, but the stock may well have fared better in a stronger market. With the stock down 34% over the last three months, the market doesn't seem to believe that the company has solved all its problems. Given the relatively short history of this stock, we'd remain pretty wary until we see some strong business performance. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with KWG Living Group Holdings (including 1 which is significant) .

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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