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AK Medical Holdings (HKG:1789) Shareholders Notch a 16% Return Over 1 Year, yet Earnings Have Been Shrinking

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 5, 2022 20:30

If you want to compound wealth in the stock market, you can do so by buying an index fund. But one can do better than that by picking better than average stocks (as part of a diversified portfolio). To wit, the AK Medical Holdings Limited (HKG:1789) share price is 16% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market decline of around 30% (not including dividends) in the same period. So that should have shareholders smiling. Unfortunately the longer term returns are not so good, with the stock falling 13% in the last three years.

Since the stock has added CN¥424m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

See our latest analysis for AK Medical Holdings

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Over the last twelve months, AK Medical Holdings actually shrank its EPS by 59%.

Given the share price gain, we doubt the market is measuring progress with EPS. Therefore, it seems likely that investors are putting more weight on metrics other than EPS, at the moment.

We are skeptical of the suggestion that the 0.3% dividend yield would entice buyers to the stock. Unfortunately AK Medical Holdings' fell 16% over twelve months. So using a snapshot of key business metrics doesn't give us a good picture of why the market is bidding up the stock.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growthSEHK:1789 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 6th 2022

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. If you are thinking of buying or selling AK Medical Holdings stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that AK Medical Holdings shareholders have gained 16% (in total) over the last year. That includes the value of the dividend. What is absolutely clear is that is far preferable to the dismal 4% average annual loss suffered over the last three years. We're generally cautious about putting too much weigh on shorter term data, but the recent improvement is definitely a positive. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with AK Medical Holdings , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course AK Medical Holdings may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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