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Investors in Opendoor Technologies (NASDAQ:OPEN) From a Year Ago Are Still Down 85%, Even After 3.3% Gain This Past Week

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 30, 2022 06:41

The art and science of stock market investing requires a tolerance for losing money on some of the shares you buy. But serious investors should think long and hard about avoiding extreme losses. So spare a thought for the long term shareholders of Opendoor Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:OPEN); the share price is down a whopping 85% in the last twelve months. That'd be enough to make even the strongest stomachs churn. We wouldn't rush to judgement on Opendoor Technologies because we don't have a long term history to look at. Furthermore, it's down 39% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. While a drop like that is definitely a body blow, money isn't as important as health and happiness.

On a more encouraging note the company has added US$63m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the one-year loss for shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Opendoor Technologies

Because Opendoor Technologies made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.

Opendoor Technologies grew its revenue by 512% over the last year. That's well above most other pre-profit companies. So the hefty 85% share price crash makes us think the company has somehow offended market participants. There's clearly something unusual going on here such as an acquisition that hasn't delivered expected profits. What is clear is that the market is not judging the company on its revenue growth right now. Of course, markets do over-react so share price drop may be too harsh.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-and-revenue-growthNasdaqGS:OPEN Earnings and Revenue Growth September 30th 2022

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Opendoor Technologies

A Different Perspective

We doubt Opendoor Technologies shareholders are happy with the loss of 85% over twelve months. That falls short of the market, which lost 20%. That's disappointing, but it's worth keeping in mind that the market-wide selling wouldn't have helped. With the stock down 39% over the last three months, the market doesn't seem to believe that the company has solved all its problems. Given the relatively short history of this stock, we'd remain pretty wary until we see some strong business performance. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Opendoor Technologies better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Opendoor Technologies that you should be aware of.

Opendoor Technologies is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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