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Is Weakness In Jinke Smart Services Group Co., Ltd. (HKG:9666) Stock A Sign That The Market Could Be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 27, 2022 21:10

It is hard to get excited after looking at Jinke Smart Services Group's (HKG:9666) recent performance, when its stock has declined 43% over the past three months. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Jinke Smart Services Group's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

Check out our latest analysis for Jinke Smart Services Group

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jinke Smart Services Group is:

12% = CN¥913m ÷ CN¥7.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every HK$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated HK$0.12 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Jinke Smart Services Group's Earnings Growth And 12% ROE

To start with, Jinke Smart Services Group's ROE looks acceptable. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 6.8% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. This certainly adds some context to Jinke Smart Services Group's exceptional 36% net income growth seen over the past five years. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Jinke Smart Services Group's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 5.6% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growthSEHK:9666 Past Earnings Growth September 28th 2022

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Jinke Smart Services Group is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Jinke Smart Services Group Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Jinke Smart Services Group has a three-year median payout ratio of 39% (where it is retaining 61% of its income) which is not too low or not too high. By the looks of it, the dividend is well covered and Jinke Smart Services Group is reinvesting its profits efficiently as evidenced by its exceptional growth which we discussed above.

While Jinke Smart Services Group has seen growth in its earnings, it only recently started to pay a dividend. It is most likely that the company decided to impress new and existing shareholders with a dividend. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 38%. Still, forecasts suggest that Jinke Smart Services Group's future ROE will rise to 16% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

Conclusion

Overall, we are quite pleased with Jinke Smart Services Group's performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. We also studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that the company's earnings growth is expected be similar to its current growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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