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Is Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) Using Too Much Debt?

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 26, 2022 07:31

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Ferrari N.V. (NYSE:RACE) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Ferrari

What Is Ferrari's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2022, Ferrari had €2.70b of debt, up from €2.30b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have €1.24b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €1.47b.

debt-equity-history-analysisNYSE:RACE Debt to Equity History September 26th 2022

A Look At Ferrari's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Ferrari had liabilities of €1.26b due within 12 months, and liabilities of €3.79b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had €1.24b in cash and €295.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €3.52b.

Of course, Ferrari has a titanic market capitalization of €35.0b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Ferrari has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.0. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 36.5 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Also good is that Ferrari grew its EBIT at 15% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Ferrari's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Ferrari's free cash flow amounted to 42% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Happily, Ferrari's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And its EBIT growth rate is good too. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Ferrari takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Ferrari that you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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