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Is Overstock.com (NASDAQ:OSTK) Using Too Much Debt?

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 24, 2022 08:50

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Overstock.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:OSTK) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Overstock.com

What Is Overstock.com's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Overstock.com had US$39.6m of debt in June 2022, down from US$42.9m, one year before. But on the other hand it also has US$442.6m in cash, leading to a US$403.0m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysisNasdaqGM:OSTK Debt to Equity History September 24th 2022

How Strong Is Overstock.com's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Overstock.com had liabilities of US$253.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$44.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$442.6m in cash and US$23.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has US$167.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

It's good to see that Overstock.com has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Overstock.com has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

In fact Overstock.com's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 42% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Overstock.com's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Overstock.com may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last two years, Overstock.com produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 52% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Overstock.com has net cash of US$403.0m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we are not troubled with Overstock.com's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Overstock.com has 5 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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