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Market Is Not Liking Sinotruk (Hong Kong)'s (HKG:3808) Earnings Decline as Stock Retreats 7.5% This Week

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 23, 2022 19:15

Investors can approximate the average market return by buying an index fund. While individual stocks can be big winners, plenty more fail to generate satisfactory returns. That downside risk was realized by Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited (HKG:3808) shareholders over the last year, as the share price declined 44%. That falls noticeably short of the market decline of around 21%. We note that it has not been easy for shareholders over three years, either; the share price is down 43% in that time. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 39% in the last 90 days. We note that the company has reported results fairly recently; and the market is hardly delighted. You can check out the latest numbers in our company report.

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Sinotruk (Hong Kong) isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

See our latest analysis for Sinotruk (Hong Kong)

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Unfortunately Sinotruk (Hong Kong) reported an EPS drop of 74% for the last year. The share price fall of 44% isn't as bad as the reduction in earnings per share. So despite the weak per-share profits, some investors are probably relieved the situation wasn't more difficult.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growthSEHK:3808 Earnings Per Share Growth September 23rd 2022

This free interactive report on Sinotruk (Hong Kong)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Sinotruk (Hong Kong) the TSR over the last 1 year was -41%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 21% in the twelve months, Sinotruk (Hong Kong) shareholders did even worse, losing 41% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 4% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Sinotruk (Hong Kong) better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Sinotruk (Hong Kong) has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Of course Sinotruk (Hong Kong) may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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