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Is Hainan Meilan International Airport (HKG:357) A Risky Investment?

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 23, 2022 00:05

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Hainan Meilan International Airport Company Limited (HKG:357) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Hainan Meilan International Airport

How Much Debt Does Hainan Meilan International Airport Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Hainan Meilan International Airport had debt of CN¥1.96b at the end of June 2022, a reduction from CN¥2.35b over a year. However, it also had CN¥212.1m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥1.75b.

debt-equity-history-analysisSEHK:357 Debt to Equity History September 23rd 2022

How Healthy Is Hainan Meilan International Airport's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hainan Meilan International Airport had liabilities of CN¥6.09b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥209.5m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥212.1m and CN¥360.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥5.73b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥8.11b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Hainan Meilan International Airport's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Hainan Meilan International Airport's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 2.4 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 5.9 times last year. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. Shareholders should be aware that Hainan Meilan International Airport's EBIT was down 68% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hainan Meilan International Airport can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Hainan Meilan International Airport burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Hainan Meilan International Airport's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its interest cover is not so bad. It's also worth noting that Hainan Meilan International Airport is in the Infrastructure industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. We're quite clear that we consider Hainan Meilan International Airport to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Hainan Meilan International Airport, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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