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There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Allegiant Travel's (NASDAQ:ALGT) Returns On Capital

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 22, 2022 09:11

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Allegiant Travel (NASDAQ:ALGT) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Allegiant Travel is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.026 = US$92m ÷ (US$4.4b - US$918m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).

Thus, Allegiant Travel has an ROCE of 2.6%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Airlines industry average of 4.8%.

See our latest analysis for Allegiant Travel

roceNasdaqGS:ALGT Return on Capital Employed September 22nd 2022

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Allegiant Travel compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

What Does the ROCE Trend For Allegiant Travel Tell Us?

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Allegiant Travel, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 24%, but since then they've fallen to 2.6%. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.

The Bottom Line On Allegiant Travel's ROCE

While returns have fallen for Allegiant Travel in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. And there could be an opportunity here if other metrics look good too, because the stock has declined 33% in the last five years. As a result, we'd recommend researching this stock further to uncover what other fundamentals of the business can show us.

If you want to know some of the risks facing Allegiant Travel we've found 4 warning signs (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

While Allegiant Travel isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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