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Here's Why JS Global Lifestyle (HKG:1691) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 15, 2022 19:51

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that JS Global Lifestyle Company Limited (HKG:1691) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for JS Global Lifestyle

What Is JS Global Lifestyle's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2022 JS Global Lifestyle had debt of US$975.2m, up from US$902.6m in one year. However, it does have US$620.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$354.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysisSEHK:1691 Debt to Equity History September 15th 2022

A Look At JS Global Lifestyle's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that JS Global Lifestyle had liabilities of US$1.60b due within a year, and liabilities of US$994.1m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$620.3m in cash and US$844.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$1.13b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since JS Global Lifestyle has a market capitalization of US$4.32b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

JS Global Lifestyle's net debt is only 0.57 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 23.8 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. But the bad news is that JS Global Lifestyle has seen its EBIT plunge 13% in the last twelve months. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine JS Global Lifestyle's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, JS Global Lifestyle recorded free cash flow worth 75% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

The good news is that JS Global Lifestyle's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But we must concede we find its EBIT growth rate has the opposite effect. All these things considered, it appears that JS Global Lifestyle can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for JS Global Lifestyle you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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