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Jiang Su Suyan JingshenLtd's (SHSE:603299) Earnings Growth Rate Lags the 16% CAGR Delivered to Shareholders

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 13, 2022 22:15

By buying an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. But if you buy good businesses at attractive prices, your portfolio returns could exceed the average market return. For example, Jiang Su Suyan Jingshen Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603299) shareholders have seen the share price rise 52% over three years, well in excess of the market return (20%, not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 3.8% , including dividends .

In light of the stock dropping 6.4% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive three-year return.

View our latest analysis for Jiang Su Suyan JingshenLtd

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Jiang Su Suyan JingshenLtd was able to grow its EPS at 37% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. The average annual share price increase of 15% is actually lower than the EPS growth. So one could reasonably conclude that the market has cooled on the stock.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-per-share-growthSHSE:603299 Earnings Per Share Growth September 14th 2022

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Jiang Su Suyan JingshenLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Jiang Su Suyan JingshenLtd, it has a TSR of 57% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Jiang Su Suyan JingshenLtd shareholders have gained 3.8% (in total) over the last year. That includes the value of the dividend. That falls short of the 16% it has made, for shareholders, each year, over three years. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Jiang Su Suyan JingshenLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Jiang Su Suyan JingshenLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.

But note: Jiang Su Suyan JingshenLtd may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CN exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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