No-one enjoys it when they lose money on a stock. But no-one can make money on every call, especially in a declining market. The HKT Trust and HKT Limited (HKG:6823) is down 19% over three years, but the total shareholder return is -1.4% once you include the dividend. And that total return actually beats the market decline of 4.1%.
So let's have a look and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.
See our latest analysis for HKT Trust and HKT
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
During the three years that the share price fell, HKT Trust and HKT's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 2.0% each year. The share price decline of 7% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy.
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).SEHK:6823 Earnings Per Share Growth September 9th 2022
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of HKT Trust and HKT, it has a TSR of -1.4% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
It's good to see that HKT Trust and HKT has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 4.8% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. However, that falls short of the 8% TSR per annum it has made for shareholders, each year, over five years. The pessimistic view would be that be that the stock has its best days behind it, but on the other hand the price might simply be moderating while the business itself continues to execute. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for HKT Trust and HKT (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about.
Of course HKT Trust and HKT may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks .
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.