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Investors Aren't Buying Brinker International, Inc.'s (NYSE:EAT) Earnings

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 8, 2022 08:21

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 15x, you may consider Brinker International, Inc. (NYSE:EAT) as an attractive investment with its 10x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Brinker International's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Brinker International

peNYSE:EAT Price Based on Past Earnings September 8th 2022 Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Brinker International will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Brinker International's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Brinker International would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 8.4%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 34% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 0.9% as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 9.4% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Brinker International is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Brinker International maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Brinker International you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a P/E below 20x.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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