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We Wouldn't Be Too Quick To Buy Swire Pacific Limited (HKG:19) Before It Goes Ex-Dividend

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 2, 2022 18:40

Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Swire Pacific Limited (HKG:19) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next four days. The ex-dividend date occurs one day before the record date which is the day on which shareholders need to be on the company's books in order to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is an important date to be aware of as any purchase of the stock made on or after this date might mean a late settlement that doesn't show on the record date. Thus, you can purchase Swire Pacific's shares before the 7th of September in order to receive the dividend, which the company will pay on the 7th of October.

The company's next dividend payment will be HK$1.15 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of HK$3.20 per share. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Swire Pacific stock has a trailing yield of around 5.8% on the current share price of HK$54.8. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Swire Pacific's dividend is reliable and sustainable. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

Check out our latest analysis for Swire Pacific

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Swire Pacific paid out more than half (57%) of its earnings last year, which is a regular payout ratio for most companies. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. Over the past year it paid out 114% of its free cash flow as dividends, which is uncomfortably high. We're curious about why the company paid out more cash than it generated last year, since this can be one of the early signs that a dividend may be unsustainable.

Swire Pacific paid out less in dividends than it reported in profits, but unfortunately it didn't generate enough cash to cover the dividend. Were this to happen repeatedly, this would be a risk to Swire Pacific's ability to maintain its dividend.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividendSEHK:19 Historic Dividend September 2nd 2022

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. Swire Pacific's earnings per share have fallen at approximately 5.4% a year over the previous five years. Such a sharp decline casts doubt on the future sustainability of the dividend.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Swire Pacific's dividend payments per share have declined at 0.9% per year on average over the past 10 years, which is uninspiring.

To Sum It Up

Has Swire Pacific got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? Swire Pacific had an average payout ratio, but its free cash flow was lower and earnings per share have been declining. It's not the most attractive proposition from a dividend perspective, and we'd probably give this one a miss for now.

Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with Swire Pacific. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Swire Pacific that you should be aware of before investing in their shares.

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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