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China Oilfield Services Limited's (HKG:2883) Stock On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Momentum?

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 31, 2022 04:15

China Oilfield Services' (HKG:2883) stock is up by a considerable 17% over the past month. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on China Oilfield Services' ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

See our latest analysis for China Oilfield Services

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China Oilfield Services is:

1.6% = CN¥622m ÷ CN¥38b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every HK$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of HK$0.02.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of China Oilfield Services' Earnings Growth And 1.6% ROE

As you can see, China Oilfield Services' ROE looks pretty weak. An industry comparison shows that the company's ROE is not much different from the industry average of 1.8% either. Looking at China Oilfield Services' exceptional 42% five-year net income growth in particular, we are definitely impressed. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play thats influencing the company's growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

We then compared China Oilfield Services' net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 8.2% in the same period.

past-earnings-growthSEHK:2883 Past Earnings Growth August 31st 2022

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 2883? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is China Oilfield Services Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

The three-year median payout ratio for China Oilfield Services is 30%, which is moderately low. The company is retaining the remaining 70%. So it seems that China Oilfield Services is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees impressive growth in its earnings (discussed above) and pays a dividend that's well covered.

Besides, China Oilfield Services has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 31% of its profits over the next three years. Still, forecasts suggest that China Oilfield Services' future ROE will rise to 9.1% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

Conclusion

On the whole, we do feel that China Oilfield Services has some positive attributes. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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