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Weifu High-Technology Group's (SZSE:200581) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 29, 2022 18:40

A lackluster earnings announcement from Weifu High-Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:200581) last week didn't sink the stock price. We think that investors are worried about some weaknesses underlying the earnings.

See our latest analysis for Weifu High-Technology Group

earnings-and-revenue-historySZSE:200581 Earnings and Revenue History August 29th 2022

A Closer Look At Weifu High-Technology Group's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Weifu High-Technology Group has an accrual ratio of 0.34 for the year to June 2022. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥3.0b, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥2.16b. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥3.0b, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Weifu High-Technology Group's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥42m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. If Weifu High-Technology Group doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

Our Take On Weifu High-Technology Group's Profit Performance

Summing up, Weifu High-Technology Group received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. Considering all this we'd argue Weifu High-Technology Group's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Weifu High-Technology Group at this point in time. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Weifu High-Technology Group (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.

Our examination of Weifu High-Technology Group has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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