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Kingdee International Software Group (HKG:268) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 21, 2022 20:40

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Kingdee International Software Group Company Limited (HKG:268) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Kingdee International Software Group

What Is Kingdee International Software Group's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2022 Kingdee International Software Group had CN¥50.0m of debt, an increase on none, over one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.98b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.93b net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysisSEHK:268 Debt to Equity History August 22nd 2022

A Look At Kingdee International Software Group's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Kingdee International Software Group had liabilities of CN¥3.29b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥178.7m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.98b and CN¥1.03b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥458.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Having regard to Kingdee International Software Group's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥48.4b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Kingdee International Software Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Kingdee International Software Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, Kingdee International Software Group reported revenue of CN¥4.5b, which is a gain of 17%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

So How Risky Is Kingdee International Software Group?

We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Kingdee International Software Group lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥147m and booked a CN¥411m accounting loss. With only CN¥1.93b on the balance sheet, it would appear that its going to need to raise capital again soon. Summing up, we're a little skeptical of this one, as it seems fairly risky in the absence of free cashflow. When I consider a company to be a bit risky, I think it is responsible to check out whether insiders have been reporting any share sales. Luckily, you can click here ito see our graphic depicting Kingdee International Software Group insider transactions.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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