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Do Fundamentals Have Any Role To Play In Driving Hengan International Group Company Limited's (HKG:1044) Stock Up Recently?

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 10, 2022 23:05

Hengan International Group's (HKG:1044) stock up by 2.9% over the past month. As most would know, long-term fundamentals have a strong correlation with market price movements, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Hengan International Group's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

Check out our latest analysis for Hengan International Group

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hengan International Group is:

17% = CN¥3.3b ÷ CN¥19b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every HK$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn HK$0.17 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Hengan International Group's Earnings Growth And 17% ROE

At first glance, Hengan International Group seems to have a decent ROE. Especially when compared to the industry average of 14% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. However, for some reason, the higher returns aren't reflected in Hengan International Group's meagre five year net income growth average of 3.1%. This is interesting as the high returns should mean that the company has the ability to generate high growth but for some reason, it hasn't been able to do so. A few likely reasons why this could happen is that the company could have a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Hengan International Group's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 14% in the same period, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growthSEHK:1044 Past Earnings Growth August 11th 2022

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 1044? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is Hengan International Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 68% (that is, the company retains only 32% of its income) over the past three years for Hengan International Group suggests that the company's earnings growth was lower as a result of paying out a majority of its earnings.

Additionally, Hengan International Group has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 60% of its profits over the next three years. As a result, Hengan International Group's ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 18% for future ROE.

Summary

Overall, we feel that Hengan International Group certainly does have some positive factors to consider. However, while the company does have a high ROE, its earnings growth number is quite disappointing. This can be blamed on the fact that it reinvests only a small portion of its profits and pays out the rest as dividends. The latest industry analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to maintain its current growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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