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E-Commodities Holdings' (HKG:1733) 657% YoY earnings expansion surpassed the shareholder returns over the past year

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 8, 2022 22:00

While stock picking isn't easy, for those willing to persist and learn, it is possible to buy shares in great companies, and generate wonderful returns. While not every stock performs well, when investors win, they can win big. For example, the E-Commodities Holdings Limited (HKG:1733) share price rocketed moonwards 408% in just one year. It's even up 11% in the last week. Also impressive, the stock is up 401% over three years, making long term shareholders happy, too.

Since the stock has added HK$542m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

Check out our latest analysis for E-Commodities Holdings

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

E-Commodities Holdings boasted truly magnificent EPS growth in the last year. This remarkable growth rate may not be sustainable, but it is still impressive. So we'd expect to see the share price higher. Strong growth like this can be evidence of a fundamental inflection point in the business, making it a good time to investigate the stock more closely.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growthSEHK:1733 Earnings Per Share Growth August 9th 2022

This free interactive report on E-Commodities Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of E-Commodities Holdings, it has a TSR of 529% for the last 1 year. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that E-Commodities Holdings shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 529% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 28% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand E-Commodities Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for E-Commodities Holdings (2 shouldn't be ignored) that you should be aware of.

We will like E-Commodities Holdings better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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