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EVOC Intelligent Technology Company Limited's (HKG:2308) Shares Climb 27% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 4, 2022 19:00

Despite an already strong run, EVOC Intelligent Technology Company Limited (HKG:2308) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 15% is also fairly reasonable.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think EVOC Intelligent Technology's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.7x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Hong Kong is similar at about 9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at EVOC Intelligent Technology over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing earnings performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

View our latest analysis for EVOC Intelligent Technology

peSEHK:2308 Price Based on Past Earnings August 4th 2022 We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on EVOC Intelligent Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is EVOC Intelligent Technology's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like EVOC Intelligent Technology's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 21% decrease to the company's bottom line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 5.9% overall rise in EPS. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 15% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's curious that EVOC Intelligent Technology's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From EVOC Intelligent Technology's P/E?

EVOC Intelligent Technology's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/E level with the market. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of EVOC Intelligent Technology revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for EVOC Intelligent Technology you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20x).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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