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Progressive Path Group Holdings' (HKG:1581) Earnings Are Of Questionable Quality

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 2, 2022 18:35

Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Progressive Path Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:1581) stock hasn't moved much. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.

Check out our latest analysis for Progressive Path Group Holdings

earnings-and-revenue-historySEHK:1581 Earnings and Revenue History August 2nd 2022

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Importantly, our data indicates that Progressive Path Group Holdings' profit received a boost of HK$4.7m in unusual items, over the last year. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Progressive Path Group Holdings' positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to March 2022. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Progressive Path Group Holdings.

Our Take On Progressive Path Group Holdings' Profit Performance

As we discussed above, we think the significant positive unusual item makes Progressive Path Group Holdings' earnings a poor guide to its underlying profitability. For this reason, we think that Progressive Path Group Holdings' statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But the happy news is that, while acknowledging we have to look beyond the statutory numbers, those numbers are still improving, with EPS growing at a very high rate over the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Progressive Path Group Holdings (2 are potentially serious) you should be familiar with.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Progressive Path Group Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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