GRIPM Advanced Materials Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688456) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.
Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that GRIPM Advanced Materials' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 37.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in China, where the median P/E ratio is around 35x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
For instance, GRIPM Advanced Materials' receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing earnings performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for GRIPM Advanced MaterialsSHSE:688456 Price Based on Past Earnings August 1st 2022 We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on GRIPM Advanced Materials' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is GRIPM Advanced Materials' Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, GRIPM Advanced Materials would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 51%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 20% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 37% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that GRIPM Advanced Materials' P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Its shares have lifted substantially and now GRIPM Advanced Materials' P/E is also back up to the market median. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of GRIPM Advanced Materials revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Having said that, be aware GRIPM Advanced Materials is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on GRIPM Advanced Materials, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.