It is a pleasure to report that the Keymed Biosciences Inc. (HKG:2162) is up 32% in the last quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last year have been disappointing. Specifically, the stock price slipped by 51% in that time. The share price recovery is not so impressive when you consider the fall. Arguably, the fall was overdone.
Since Keymed Biosciences has shed CN¥420m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.
See our latest analysis for Keymed Biosciences
Keymed Biosciences wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).SEHK:2162 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 1st 2022
You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
A Different Perspective
Keymed Biosciences shareholders are down 51% for the year, even worse than the market loss of 17%. There's no doubt that's a disappointment, but the stock may well have fared better in a stronger market. It's great to see a nice little 32% rebound in the last three months. Let's just hope this isn't the widely-feared 'dead cat bounce' (which would indicate further declines to come). I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Keymed Biosciences that you should be aware of.
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Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
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