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Wang On Properties' (HKG:1243) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 29, 2022 19:15

The subdued market reaction suggests that Wang On Properties Limited's (HKG:1243) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.

View our latest analysis for Wang On Properties

earnings-and-revenue-historySEHK:1243 Earnings and Revenue History July 29th 2022

Examining Cashflow Against Wang On Properties' Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

For the year to March 2022, Wang On Properties had an accrual ratio of 0.38. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Even though it reported a profit of HK$285.1m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through HK$3.0b in the last year. We also note that Wang On Properties' free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of HK$3.0b. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Wang On Properties.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Wang On Properties' profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by HK$45m in the last twelve months. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Wang On Properties to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

Our Take On Wang On Properties' Profit Performance

Wang On Properties saw unusual items weigh on its profit, which should have made it easier to show high cash conversion, which it did not do, according to its accrual ratio. Based on these factors, we think it's very unlikely that Wang On Properties' statutory profits make it seem much weaker than it is. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Wang On Properties at this point in time. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for Wang On Properties (3 are a bit concerning) you should be familiar with.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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