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Earnings Not Telling The Story For Suzhou Hesheng Special Material Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002290) After Shares Rise 39%

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 28, 2022 19:30

Suzhou Hesheng Special Material Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002290) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 39% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 35%.

Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Suzhou Hesheng Special Material's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 34.8x is worth a mention when the median P/E in China is similar at about 35x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

For example, consider that Suzhou Hesheng Special Material's financial performance has been poor lately as it's earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing earnings performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Suzhou Hesheng Special Material

peSZSE:002290 Price Based on Past Earnings July 28th 2022 Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Suzhou Hesheng Special Material will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Suzhou Hesheng Special Material's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 13% decrease to the company's bottom line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 44% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 37% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's curious that Suzhou Hesheng Special Material's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What We Can Learn From Suzhou Hesheng Special Material's P/E?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Suzhou Hesheng Special Material's P/E is also back up to the market median. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Suzhou Hesheng Special Material currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Suzhou Hesheng Special Material has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Suzhou Hesheng Special Material, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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