Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International) Limited (HKG:417) just reported healthy earnings but the stock price didn't move much. Our analysis suggests that investors might be missing some promising details.
See our latest analysis for Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International)SEHK:417 Earnings and Revenue History July 27th 2022
Zooming In On Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International)'s Earnings
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
Over the twelve months to March 2022, Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International) recorded an accrual ratio of -0.15. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of HK$254m, well over the HK$15.5m it reported in profit. Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International) did see its free cash flow drop year on year, which is less than ideal, like a Simpson's episode without Groundskeeper Willie. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International).
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International)'s profit was boosted by unusual items worth HK$16m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. If Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International) doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.
Our Take On Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International)'s Profit Performance
In conclusion, Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International)'s accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Based on these factors, it's hard to tell if Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International)'s profits are a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. While conducting our analysis, we found that Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International) has 3 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore these bad boys.
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.